[Osx-nutters] Denial

[David Cake]

At 11:09 PM +0100 14/8/07, Stefano Mori wrote:
>I doubt it because they say the debate is over.

	But if they said the debate wasn't over, you'd doubt it too 
(I mean, you'd be nuts to say otherwise). So, you've argued yourself 
into a catch 22 - there is nothing they can say that will make them 
think the scientific question is more or less settled.
	I mean, sure, if they said 'oh, we are moderately confident 
of a particular outcome' you would probably take them at their word - 
but what if they are genuinely MORE than moderately confident?

>Virtual certainly about forecasts of big complex systems only leads
>me to suspicion.

	But somehow, the virtual certainty about facts like 'reducing 
smoking reduces lung cancer', despite the massive and poorly 
understood complexity of the human immune system and mechanisms of 
cancer, doesn't bother you.
	Cheers
		David